Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047271 0.051417 0.055618 0.060186 0.065006 0.069933 0.075344
2024-10-13 0.041135 0.047289 0.053753 0.061021 0.068938 0.077275 0.086692
2024-10-20 0.035272 0.042734 0.050839 0.060234 0.070761 0.082130 0.095276
2024-10-27 0.031599 0.040147 0.049714 0.061100 0.074164 0.088574 0.105557
2024-11-03 0.027820 0.037041 0.047666 0.060630 0.075836 0.092932 0.113428
2024-11-10 0.025063 0.034856 0.046445 0.060904 0.078197 0.097961 0.122001
2024-11-17 0.023003 0.033309 0.045808 0.061718 0.081073 0.103513 0.131148
2024-11-24 0.022263 0.033321 0.046999 0.064690 0.086500 0.112067 0.143855
2024-12-01 0.019429 0.030406 0.044348 0.062760 0.085853 0.113308 0.147853
2024-12-08 0.017503 0.028534 0.042881 0.062183 0.086757 0.116329 0.153919
2024-12-15 0.015895 0.026965 0.041697 0.061865 0.087903 0.119587 0.160237
2024-12-22 0.015382 0.026882 0.042448 0.064030 0.092176 0.126697 0.171276
2024-12-29 0.014468 0.026192 0.042378 0.065152 0.095194 0.132374 0.180743
2025-01-05 0.013545 0.025420 0.042150 0.066035 0.097902 0.137688 0.189819
2025-01-12 0.012156 0.023841 0.040706 0.065206 0.098329 0.140105 0.195296
2025-01-19 0.011418 0.023210 0.040563 0.066121 0.101033 0.145413 0.204414
2025-01-26 0.010343 0.021956 0.039447 0.065625 0.101816 0.148239 0.210405
2025-02-02 0.009576 0.021139 0.038921 0.065915 0.103625 0.152376 0.218063
2025-02-09 0.009019 0.020628 0.038816 0.066774 0.106188 0.157486 0.226974
2025-02-16 0.009056 0.021143 0.040282 0.069910 0.111894 0.166744 0.241263
2025-02-23 0.007886 0.019434 0.038235 0.067873 0.110423 0.166546 0.243364
2025-03-02 0.007133 0.018409 0.037198 0.067264 0.110888 0.168871 0.248711
2025-03-09 0.006500 0.017548 0.036373 0.066929 0.111704 0.171646 0.254639